The latest Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller housing index numbers out today show the market falling less dramatically than it had been earlier in the year. The 10 and 20 city indices were both down 18% in April, versus the same month in 2008. But that decline was less severe than it had been in January, February and March.
"The pace of decline in residential real estate slowed in April,” says David Blitzer, Managing Director and Chairman of the Index Committee at Standard & Poor's. ”Every metro area, except for Charlotte, recorded an improvement in monthly returns over March. While one month’s data cannot determine if a turnaround has begun, it seems that some stabilization may be appearing in a few of the regions."
The worst hit cities include Phoenix (down 35%), Las Vegas (-32%) and San Francisco (-28%). Best performers were Denver (only down 4.9%), Dallas (-5%) and Boston (-7.7%). Dallas has held up the best since its market peaked in June 2007, falling only 9.6%. Phoenix fared worst, off 54% from its June 2006 peak.

Cameron Findlay, the Chief Economist of mortgage site LendingTree.com, says the clearest sign of where the housing market is now, lies not in a national price index from two months ago but in the cost of mortgages today. Rates on a 30 year conventional mortgage have dipped down to 5.37% from a recent high of 5.74%. That’s telling us the housing market hasn’t recovered. The Fed is still committed to buying $300 billion of long-term Treasury bonds to inject more liquidity into the system, he notes.
“There was a wide anticipation that the Fed would ease off on, not purchase as much,” he notes. “Bonds started selling off, rates started rising.” That's changed. Findlay expects rates to stay at this level at least until the Fed finishes its bond buying in September or until more convincing signs emerge that the housing market has come back.
“It’s still down,” Findlay says of the Case-Shiller index. “The only positive news is that Colorado slightly improved. There’s still extreme pressure due to (mortgage) delinquencies.”

I stopped by Dwell on Design, a home design show sponsored by Dwell magazine at the Los Angeles Convention Center this weekend. This was the kind of event I expected to be really slow during the Great Recession. It cost $25 to get in and had a lot of cool, but pricey products on for sale, everything from $3,000 Ligne Roset arm chairs (and they are cool) to my bottle of Vitamin Water which cost $3.80 including tax (convention center pricing). There was actually a pretty decent-sized turnout.
The big hit seemed to the handful of prefab homes on display. Green Inc. is a Los Angeles company that makes dwellings out of converted shipping containers. That’s one of their homes above.

Modern-Shed makes the most stylish sheds you’ve ever seen. Like the Green Inc. structures, Modern-Shed’s products start at around $10,000. The company wisely positions them not as a hipper replacement for the $1,000 aluminum shed you could buy at Sears but as a low-cost addition to your home. While my wife and I liked that idea, my mother-in-law and niece didn’t seem to too keen on sleeping in the shed.

Also generating a lot of interest was a 400 square foot cottage made from reclaimed wood and other products. The cottage was very cool, kind of a cross between a shabby chic country house and the Unibomber's cabin. It’s made by an Austin company called Reclaimed Space, which auctioned off that actual home on eBay. The winning bidder paid $75,000. I remember one of the staffers in the house saying that home typically sold for $60,000, although in this case half the proceeds went to Habitat for Humanity.

As if celebrities didn't have enough problems--like paparazzi and wrinkles--along comes the housing bust to tarnish their silvery existence. a story by Laura Mann of Newsday. That's the tippy top of Christie's house, known as Tower Hill, in the photo. It's been on the market for $30 million ever since 2007. Don't feel too bad for the uptown girl, though. According to Newsday, she bought Tower Hill in the late 1990s for less than $3 million.